POWER UTILITY | Staff Reporter, China

China's coal-fired power generation predicted to keep declining by 2040

Coal-fired power generation in China is predicted to remain flat until 2040. According to EIA's International Energy Outlook 2017, other energy sources will make up increasing shares of its power mix.

EIA also said that coal will remain to eat up a large chunk of China's mix, peaking at almost 4400 billion kWh by 2030. More than 60% of the increase in energy consumption by 2040 comes from non-OECD Asia, which includes China and India.

Coal use remains flat over the projection period as declines in China are largely offset by increases in India and other parts of Asia.

Here's more from EIA:

World energy consumption increases from 575 quadrillion Btu in 2015 to 736 quadrillion Btu in 2040, a 28% increase. Even though demand in the residential and transportation sectors grows more rapidly, the industrial sector still accounts for over 50% of delivered energy consumption in 2040.

Transportation energy use rises by nearly 30% between 2015 and 2040 with almost all of the growth occurring in non-OECD regions. Renewable energy is the world’s fastest-growing energy source, increasing an average 2.3%/year between 2015 and 2040.

Fossil fuels remain dominant, supplying 77% of the world’s energy consumption in 2040. Natural gas is the fastest growing fossil fuel with global consumption increasing an average 1.4%/year between 2015 and 2040.

World energy-related carbon dioxide emissions are projected to grow an average 0.6%/year between 2015 and 2040, far below the 1.3%/year growth from 1990 to 2015.

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