Kazakhstan’s energy consumption to reach 111 TWh by 2035

Thanks to the demand from energy-intensive industries, amongst others.

Electricity consumption in Kazakhstan is continuing to increase, even expected to reach 111 terawatt-hours (TWh) by 2035 from 90.9 TWh in 2024.

According to GlobalData’s “Kazakhstan Power Market Outlook to 2035, Update 2025 – Market Trends, Regulations, and Competitive Landscape,” this increase in demand is mainly due to energy-intensive industries, mining, oil and gas operations, and residential sector growth.

Industrial sector accounted for most of the demand, with 56% in 2024. This was followed by the commercial sector with 19.2%, and the residential sector with a share of 19.1%.

Attaurrahman Ojindaram Saibasan, senior power analyst at GlobalData, said metallurgy, mining, and oil refining continue to be the predominant consumers in the industrial sector. New projects in battery metals and green hydrogen are also possible drivers of demand.

The residential sector is also experiencing an upsurge in demand due to e increased energy consumption of households. This rise is a direct consequence of urbanisation and elevated living standards, which in turn lead to a higher proliferation of electrical appliances as well as heating and cooling systems, he added.

Saibasan noted that the Kazakh government estimates the country would need at least 17.5 gigawatts (GW) of new capacity to meet the local demand by 2035.

“The Ministry of Energy (MoE) has proposed the following structure for the new energy capacity required by 2035 as follows: over 5.1 GW of gas-based thermal capacity, over 2.1 GW from hydropower plants, over 1.4 GW of coal-based thermal capacity, over 6.5 GW from renewable power, and over 2.4 GW of nuclear power capacity,” the expert said.